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ireland, irish, ulster, ireland, irish, ulster, Sinn Féin, Irish America

Unlucky 2013 for the North in store

(John Coulter, Irish Daily Star)

We're doomed! That's what Coulter's Crystal Ball is telling me about 2013 unless Ireland can get the dissident republican and loyalist flag feud under control.

Political tensions will go through the roof as more centenaries are planned. 2013 marks the 100th anniversary of the formation of two major nationalist militias, the Irish Volunteers and the Irish Citizen Army – both the forerunners of the IRA.

January also sees the centenary of the formal establishment of the Ulster Volunteer Force by the Ulster Unionist Council to combat Home Rule in Ireland.

The pre-Christmas Union flag dispute will escalate across the North as the loyalist community forms a hardline People's Forum to rival the Unionist Forum set up by the political parties.

There is the real danger the situation could spin out of control as working class Protestants feel the Unionist parties are not bringing in enough peace cash to loyalist communities.

On paper, with the Gathering to be launched – aimed at encouraging thousands of people of Irish ancestry to visit Ireland – and the world renowned G8 conference of super nations meeting in Fermanagh, the Emerald Isle should be on course to become a tourist mecca.

MI5 needs to get its act in gear and gain more intelligence from their touts about the activities of dissident republican terrorist groups and militant loyalists otherwise the Gathering and G8 will turn into a global embarrassment.

If the police are warning about loyalist paramilitary involvement in the Union flag pickets, then MI5 urgently needs to move its agents into the leadership of the protest movement, otherwise the flag issue will be the launch pad for a new Protestant civil rights organisation.

This would see history repeating itself as in 1913, the network of Unionist Clubs became a street movement which heavily influenced the direction of the political UUC.

With Southern Ireland taking over the European Union Presidency, the Dáil needs to use its six-month term in the hot seat to forget all about the euro and bring back the highly successful Irish pound.

The Historical Enquiries Team will turn up more evidence of collusion in the killing of Catholics and nationalists, which will provoke Unionist MPs to use parliamentary privilege at Westminster to name republicans allegedly involved in unsolved murders.

With no elections planned, all the political parties will have to deal with a round of internal strife, feuds and coups – with the Stoops and UUP coming off worse.

Big Al from the SDLP and the Ulster Unionists' Mike Nesbitt will be lucky to still be at the helms of their parties by next Christmas.

The Shinners will win the expected Mid Ulster Commons by-election as deputy First Minister Marty McGuinness concentrates on his Stormont role. Unionist infighting will see the emergence of yet more parties.

Nationalists will return the serve of the Union flag dispute by objecting to more Loyal Order and loyalist band parades, causing loyalists to bring their violent Love Ulster campaign into the Republic.

With the fragmenting and splitting within Unionism, the Far Right will take advantage of loyalist anger and set up a new batch of racist organisations across the North. Basically, the Troubles will be back on with sectarianism and racism on the rise.

On the church front, gay marriage and women clergy will spark massive splits in many churches. More clerical abuse allegations will surface making the Jimmy Savile scandal look like a Sunday School picnic.

On the sporting front, my beloved Gunners will win a trophy, the 'Sam' will return to Ulster provincial soil, and a horse with Irish links will win the coveted English Grand National. Indeed, 2013 will be the year for Irish horses.

January 1, 2013
________________

This article appeared in the December 31, 2012 edition of the Irish Daily Star.

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