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ireland, irish, ulster, ireland, irish, ulster, Sinn Féin, Irish America

It's time for Red and Blue politics: Cameron needs four UUP defectors to break mould

(John Coulter, Irish Daily Star)

The North will only be ready for Red and Blue politics when at least four Ulster Unionist MLAs cross the Stormont Chamber and join Dandy Dave Cameron's Conservatives.

The great and good comprising the North's re-launched Tories held a highly entertaining debate in Belfast's Glengall Street, once the bastion of the now civil war-ridden UUP.

All eyes were focused on the answers by Basil McCrea, the UUP Lagan Valley MLA, a defeated party leadership challenger.

Another of Basil's wee mates, Johnny McCallister of South Down, is licking his political wounds after being unceremoniously sacked as UUP deputy leader, a move which has sent the Northern Tories into number-crunching hyper-drive.

Rumour has it that the bold Basil is the next in line for UUP boss Mike Nesbitt's leadership knife.

McCallister and McCrea are half what the Tories need to defect from the UUP if their dream of creating non-sectarian politics at Stormont is to become a reality.

As Dandy Dave rallies his troops this week at the annual Conservative conference bashes in England, the Northern Irish contingent will be pondering how it can break the DUP/Sinn Féin monopoly at Stormont.

At the moment, the Northern Tories lack what both Robbo's Dupes and the Shinners seem to have in abundance – money and members.

The big problem which the Tories face is how to convert the current voting mindset in the North from orange and green politics to those of red Labour and blue Conservatives.

How can the Tories cash in on the fact there is no official opposition to the DUP/Shinner Stormont coalition? The UUP and SDLP are in no position to re-create the successful initial partnership of David Trimble and Seamus Mallon.

And what happens to their bandwagon if the Tories contest the expected Mid Ulster Westminster by-election and get a real hammering?

Shinner deputy First Minister Marty McGuinness has already unveiled he plans to give up his Commons post before the end of this year – a move he would not have taken unless he was sure Sinn Féin could hold the seat, even if there is a Unionist unity candidate.

Such is Sinn Féin confidence, the Shinners will be hoping for a repeat of the Fermanagh South Tyrone election result where the party fought off a split nationalist vote with the Stoops along with a Unionist unity runner.

The voice of opposition in the Assembly is held competently by wee Jimmy Allister's Traditional Unionist Voice.

Given that there is little hope of the Stoops and UUP forming an opposition, and Alliance has sold its political soul for Executive seats, the Tories are the only real alternative.

It might be UUP defectors who get the bandwagon rolling, but the Tories also need to consider closet Conservatives from within the Stoops. Right-wing Stoops face a bleak future.

They could either keep their gobs shut, join King Kenny's Blueshirts, or cross the Stormont floor.

The chances of the Stoops merging with Fine Gael are slim and none! The Tories badly need some Green Tories in their ranks.

With rumours the UUP defection list could top half a dozen MLAs, and at least three Stoops, all of a sudden an official Dandy Dave fan club at Stormont is becoming more and more like a reality. Wonder what old Maggie Thatcher makes of all this?

October 9, 2012
________________

This article appeared in the October 8, 2012 edition of the Irish Daily Star.

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