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ireland, irish, ulster, ireland, irish, ulster, Sinn Fein, Irish America

Filling Big Man's boots is a tall order

(by Suzanne Breen, the News Letter)

No-one will ever be able to fill his boots. But the hunt is on for the DUP dude to replace the Rev Ian Paisley in Europe.

His decision not to stand again has transformed what would be a very boring election countdown into a much more interesting affair. Over the next few weeks, the lads - and possibly lassies - will line up for what seems an open race.

There is an apparent front-runner, a few old favourites, and a dark horse. Ian jnr reportedly heads the field. "'Paisley for Europe' has a ring to it," he says.

But young Ian is known to enjoy a bit of mischief. Colleagues suggest he is just teasing the speculators. His feet are firmly planted in North Antrim. He has devoted the past 15 years to working in the constituency and building his profile to take over from his father. He is unlikely to change course now.

Nigel Dodds is the DUP's natural candidate. High-profile, intelligent and articulate, he has the qualities necessary. He was Paisley's Strasbourg assistant.

Many DUPers regard the European Parliament as monotonous - somewhere days are spent deciding on equality of bathing water. But Dodds seems to genuinely like the place.

He is said to be considering his options. But is he likely to give up Westminster and would the DUP let him? North Belfast has a growing nationalist population. Without a strong DUP candidate, and with a further collapse of the SDLP vote, Sinn Féin might be in with a shout for the seat.

The Westminster commitments of Gregory Campbell, Jeffrey Donaldson, and the Robinsons rule them out of the European race. Sammy Wilson is odds-on to be the next East Antrim MP, and David Simpson's heart is said to lie in trying to cause an upset in Upper Bann.

He hasn't said a word but the Rev Willie McCrea is reportedly very interested in Strasbourg. Despite his years of service, there seems to be a reluctance among some party insiders.

"A decent man, a fine singer but not the right candidate," says one. Some argue that McCrea couldn't build on the DUP vote by appealing beyond the hard-core.

There is criticism that, in the Assembly elections, he didn't stand in South Antrim - where the party retains Westminster hopes - but returned to his Mid-Ulster home turf. The Free Presbyterian minister might have very different ideas about his potential though.

The DUP's dark horse is party chairman Maurice Morrow. So far he hasn't set the world on fire and he lacks province-wide profile. But some believe the party's slick media machine could change that.

Morrow is a safe pair of hands. He has worked hard on farming issues and has no chance of ever being MP for Fermanagh and South Tyrone. Other potential runners - particularly if the party stands two candidates - are Diane Dodds and Arlene Foster.

Dodds has impressed many since her Assembly win, although a bit longer in office might be required. Foster too is an attractive candidate. Joining the party only this month both helps and hinders her. Some members feel it would send out a very positive message to discontented Ulster Unionists - join the DUP and you get a chance. Others might be reluctant to back so recent a recruit.

But whoever is chosen, the DUP will never find another Dr Paisley. No matter what you think of his politics, for character and colour, warmth and wit, he is irreplaceable.

Some of us who support Sunday rugby and racing, enjoy a fair few glasses of the Devil's butter-milk, and find line-dancing a very tame activity indeed, still value him. And we suspect, deep down, the Big Man has a sneaking regard for 'sinners' like us.

January 23, 2004
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This article appears in the January 22, 2004 edition of the News Letter.

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